policewale 60 #1 Posted January 15, 2020 Hello players Working out with probability can be simple or extremely complicated. How did you come up with your strategy? Did you calculate its probability? If so how did you do it? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hardbringer87 27 #2 Posted January 15, 2020 Lol, its easy to calculate. Hard thing is to find out HOW to calculate, and HOW apply these calculations to your strategy. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Muffin20 14 #3 Posted January 15, 2020 hahaha idk, but what i've done is in a differet way. maybe a lot of effort 😂 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Chikou1306 187 #4 Posted January 15, 2020 i always like to play randomly ! its a game of numbers, a game of randomness, i keep on playing in a random way until i reach my goal or i get busted ! thats how i always gamble, and not only in dice ! but in all the other games. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
policewale 60 #5 Posted January 15, 2020 19 minutes ago, Chikou1306 said: i always like to play randomly ! its a game of numbers, a game of randomness, i keep on playing in a random way until i reach my goal or i get busted ! thats how i always gamble, and not only in dice ! but in all the other games. Sometimes I feel like playing random too. It works for sometime but now it isn't. 25 minutes ago, Muffin20 said: maybe a lot of effort 😂 Mind explaining that different way? I often see you hunting results and honestly Im kinda jealous. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
W0rthl3ss 2 #6 Posted January 15, 2020 i just play it the way i want it.. like u said its a game of numbers.. just set your goal and learn when to stop :D Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
katsuragi 15 #7 Posted January 15, 2020 4 hours ago, policewale said: Hello players Working out with probability can be simple or extremely complicated. How did you come up with your strategy? Did you calculate its probability? If so how did you do it? i simulate 1M bets with my strat Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sourc3code 206 #8 Posted January 16, 2020 Although there are methods to simulate probability on the site, the actual results can vary quite a bit depending on your seed. I think its better to watch the rolls coming out on your seed and trying to follow the subtle patterns for it. Even then, the results can be completely different, but I think its the best way. 1 katsuragi reacted to this Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DreamStage 144 #9 Posted January 16, 2020 My bot does that for me as i made some formulas for calculating the probabilistic chances. Used ChatBot for gathering information on specific red streaks and made my strategies for more red streaks but also winning more profit. (!odds) Also using https://dicesites.com/tools Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Chikou1306 187 #10 Posted January 16, 2020 20 hours ago, policewale said: Sometimes I feel like playing random too. It works for sometime but now it isn't. thats how gambling is though , you can never win every time you want to, the point of playing random is to depend on your luck and to stop once you hit a good profit.. and you will surely get your chance to win big... it may take time but you will Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nolep 166 #11 Posted January 16, 2020 I myself before playing will usually ask a few friends who have played so that I can anticipate losing and with my own experience so I will use a fairly large balance and also with a bet that will definitely hit before it runs out. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
katsuragi 15 #12 Posted January 16, 2020 11 hours ago, DreamStage said: My bot does that for me as i made some formulas for calculating the probabilistic chances. Used ChatBot for gathering information on specific red streaks and made my strategies for more red streaks but also winning more profit. (!odds) Also using https://dicesites.com/tools u can do that on dicebot... theres a bad streak table that tolds u ur porfit and how long u can go with ur strat Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mahdirakib 78 #13 Posted January 18, 2020 Nah I don't. I'm playing since so long. And I'm using my old strategy most of the time. So I have learn the game so well. And have good knowledge about the chance and probability on this payout. As we can't bet the house edge unexpected reds lead to bust. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nolep 166 #14 Posted January 19, 2020 On 1/16/2020 at 9:14 PM, katsuragi said: u can do that on dicebot... theres a bad streak table that tolds u ur porfit and how long u can go with ur strat absolutely right, because I once had a good strategy to run on a bot, but it only lasted for an hour because if it passes, it would definitely suffer a losing streak that made me suffer a lot of losses so even though using a bot there is no guarantee of always winning. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jelanstream 76 #15 Posted January 19, 2020 I calculate the chance base on my bankroll for example I'm hunting 1000x and I have a 0.01 bitcoin I calculate it base on how many rolls to hit that 1000x sometimes I multiple the payout into 4 so 1000x4=4000 then I divide 0.01 bitcoin into 4000. 0.01/5000= 0.0000025 so my basebet is only that for play safe. Or I just use pre roll. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
policewale 60 #16 Posted January 19, 2020 On 16/01/2020 at 09:57, sourc3code said: I think its better to watch the rolls coming out on your seed and trying to follow the subtle patterns for it. I completely agree. Sometimes the result is based on a pattern. @Jelanstream Its too difficult for e to calculate. It's not that I'm bad in math. I just don't do it, I am too lazy to do it. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nolep 166 #17 Posted January 20, 2020 20 hours ago, Jelanstream said: I calculate the chance base on my bankroll for example I'm hunting 1000x and I have a 0.01 bitcoin I calculate it base on how many rolls to hit that 1000x sometimes I multiple the payout into 4 so 1000x4=4000 then I divide 0.01 bitcoin into 4000. 0.01/5000= 0.0000025 so my basebet is only that for play safe. Or I just use pre roll. Very good calculation, I myself counted the game that I did with the aim that I could hold a long red in the game and also this could be used to minimize the losses that I would experience so I did this before playing. balance is also important if we are less likely to experience a hefty loss Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
bananas 4 #18 Posted January 24, 2020 I would usually just go with the gut feeling whenever I am gambling and these feelings are usually 51% correct. Although sometimes seeing the recent bets could give you possible ideas in what digit is going to be rolled. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Iyahmo 8 #19 Posted January 24, 2020 Not calculating though. Just my instinct and luck. Not even bother to calculate how many profits or how much will I lose. i just go with the flow of my own strat. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sheenaz.bay 442 #20 Posted January 27, 2020 I don't know how to calculate probabilities, I just play with strategies that I often play with. so it can be said that I play by relying on luck, and if I'm lucky, then I get profit Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
iris05 6 #21 Posted January 28, 2020 Interesting topic here. Learning new ideas and strats from different players. Definitely worth a try. As for me I haven't tried calculating it. What I do is when I have a higher payout I have a low on loss and when I lower my payout I increases my on loss. Although I got busted but its not that easy to be busted if you got a good balance. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ph4ntom 2 #22 Posted January 28, 2020 I tend to trust my intuition a lot and in most cases it really worked for me. However, when my confidence increases too much, I end up losing everything I have. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ham0117 8 #23 Posted January 28, 2020 Sometimes I calculate what I can get from specific payout I want to used but when reds come continuously calculation is out of my hand already Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
katsuragi 15 #24 Posted January 30, 2020 On 19/01/2020 at 14:28, Jelanstream said: I calculate the chance base on my bankroll for example I'm hunting 1000x and I have a 0.01 bitcoin I calculate it base on how many rolls to hit that 1000x sometimes I multiple the payout into 4 so 1000x4=4000 then I divide 0.01 bitcoin into 4000. 0.01/5000= 0.0000025 so my basebet is only that for play safe. Or I just use pre roll. When im on roll hunt of 99x 990x or 9900x i do 80 rolls or 800 or 8000 rolls of a base bet of 1 sat just to do prerolls and to stop when i hit something (its more to be able to stop on the side than the hit but still is some sats extras) then for the base bet i just throw half of balance... i will try your strat because when i play safe it just takes to long to do some balance and when i dont play safe i just go to high on the red streak and bust it so... i dont usually hunt unless i dont have the min balance for my auto strat Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
@zulfandina 207 #25 Posted April 29, 2020 calculating probabilities will be very difficult, it's best not to think about it. just walk like flowing water, luck will come if we keep trying even in gambling Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites