mikec7845417 0 #1 Posted March 16, 2017 Hi, I am trying to make a martingale-based algorithm based on some analysis. The idea is to find out when it is the best time to switch sides in the process. I have setup a MySQL database which consists of following tables: SEED used for generating rolls 10 rows (random server seed, same client seed) ROLL generated rolls for each seed 1,000,000 rows for each seed (10,000,000 rows total) 0–999,999 nonce for each seed STREAK low, high or house edge streaks 5,097,980 rows total Low streak is count of consecutive rolls under 49.50. Hi streak is count of consecutive rolls over 50.49. House edge streak is count of consecutive rolls between 49.50 and 50.49 inclusive. Low streakCount 1 1,262,317 2 625,350 3 309,775 4 152,799 5 75,202 6 37,405 7 18,640 8 9,191 9 4,601 10 2,291 11 1,103 12 574 13 262 14 137 15 66 16 33 17 20 18 6 19 3 20 2 High streakCount 1 1,262,280 2 624,478 3 309,217 4 153,266 5 76,041 6 37,367 7 18,567 8 9,318 9 4,608 10 2,264 11 1,116 12 557 13 295 14 145 15 65 16 37 17 12 18 4 19 6 20 1 House edge streak Count 1 97,630 2 915 3 14 Max high or low streak is 20. Max losing streak when betting on one side is 20. There isn't any house edge roll after streak 20 is hit. Any suggestions what to look for? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Memek 49 #2 Posted March 16, 2017 Max high or low streak is 20. Max losing streak when betting on one side is 20. There isn't any house edge roll after streak 20 is hit. Any suggestions what to look for? I wonder how the streak is effected if the win chance is at 50% (payout is 1.98x). Hi is >49.99, Lo is <50.00. btw, its notable that the max streak is only 20 in your 10 million generated rolls . Plenty of users have seen > 20. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
mikec7845417 0 #3 Posted March 16, 2017 Max high or low streak is 20. Max losing streak when betting on one side is 20. There isn't any house edge roll after streak 20 is hit. Any suggestions what to look for? I wonder how the streak is effected if the win chance is at 50% (payout is 1.98x). Hi is >49.99, Lo is <50.00. btw, its notable that the max streak is only 20 in your 10 million generated rolls . Plenty of users have seen > 20. Yeah, that means it's 10,000,000:1 chance you get more than 20 streak. Very, very unlikely but still possible. I ran payout 1.98x calculation of streaks for one seed only (1,000,000 rolls) and looks pretty much the same as 2x payout streaks. You can see the results in attachments. There is 19 max streak but note that for this seed there was 19 max streak on 2x payout too. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jaarood 7 #4 Posted March 16, 2017 that's interesting but I don't think we can get anything from it that would make us win more or lose less haha Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Munkeebank 1 #5 Posted March 19, 2017 I have no idea what this is about but good luck!? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
mikec7845417 0 #6 Posted March 21, 2017 that's interesting but I don't think we can get anything from it that would make us win more or lose less haha Yeah, after a few hours of testing I found out that it's not possible to beat math. Win rate never exceeded 50% => house will ALWAYS win in long term. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
mikec7845417 0 #7 Posted March 21, 2017 how is this possible? How is possible what exactly? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites