Jump to content

mikec7845417

Noob
  • Content Count

    17
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by mikec7845417


  1. Hi,

     

    what technical indicators are you using to trade Bitcoin?

    What timeframes are you looking at?

    How often do you trade?

    Do you use leverage?

     

    I personally like to trade short-term (holding position for max 3 days) or day-trade scalping.

    I trade based on fundamentals and technicals like 4H 1D RSI, 30M 1H Bollinger Bands, and a few more, and use max 10x leverage.

     

    Please share your trading strategies!


  2. What is your opinion on cats and dogs? Which are better?

     

    I personally think dogs are better because a dog can save you when you are drowning but a cat doesn't like water so it would not even try to save you.

     

    Please share your opinion.

     

    Thanks!


  3. that's interesting but I don't think we can get anything from it that would make us win more or lose less haha

     

     

    Yeah, after a few hours of testing I found out that it's not possible to beat math. Win rate never exceeded 50% => house will ALWAYS win in long term.


  4.  

     

    • Max high or low streak is 20.

    • Max losing streak when betting on one side is 20. There isn't any house edge roll after streak 20 is hit.

     

     

    Any suggestions what to look for?

     

     

    I wonder how the streak is effected if the win chance is at 50% (payout is 1.98x). Hi is >49.99, Lo is <50.00.

     

    btw, its notable that the max streak is only 20 in your 10 million generated rolls . Plenty of users have seen > 20.

     

     

    Yeah, that means it's 10,000,000:1 chance you get more than 20 streak. Very, very unlikely but still possible.

    I ran payout 1.98x calculation of streaks for one seed only (1,000,000 rolls) and looks pretty much the same as 2x payout streaks.

     

    You can see the results in attachments.

    There is 19 max streak but note that for this seed there was 19 max streak on 2x payout too.

    Screen_Shot_2017-03-16_at_16_01_21.png.14fb4da390c92cab5d8e1b0ec1b7bc57.png

    Screen_Shot_2017-03-16_at_16_01_28.png.27d45669588a785a191d06417b18e96d.png

    Screen_Shot_2017-03-16_at_16_01_21.png.14fb4da390c92cab5d8e1b0ec1b7bc57.png

    Screen_Shot_2017-03-16_at_16_01_28.png.27d45669588a785a191d06417b18e96d.png


  5. Hi,

     

    I am trying to make a martingale-based algorithm based on some analysis.

    The idea is to find out when it is the best time to switch sides in the process.

     

    I have setup a MySQL database which consists of following tables:

    SEED used for generating rolls

    10 rows (random server seed, same client seed)

     

    ROLL generated rolls for each seed

    1,000,000 rows for each seed (10,000,000 rows total)

    0–999,999 nonce for each seed

     

    STREAK low, high or house edge streaks

    5,097,980 rows total

     

    Low streak is count of consecutive rolls under 49.50.

    Hi streak is count of consecutive rolls over 50.49.

    House edge streak is count of consecutive rolls between 49.50 and 50.49 inclusive.

     

     

     

     

    Low streak

    Count

     

     

     

     

     

    1

     

    1,262,317

     

     

     

     

     

    2

     

    625,350

     

     

     

     

     

    3

     

    309,775

     

     

     

     

     

    4

     

    152,799

     

     

     

     

     

    5

     

    75,202

     

     

     

     

     

    6

     

    37,405

     

     

     

     

     

    7

     

    18,640

     

     

     

     

     

    8

     

    9,191

     

     

     

     

     

    9

     

    4,601

     

     

     

     

     

    10

     

    2,291

     

     

     

     

     

    11

     

    1,103

     

     

     

     

     

    12

     

    574

     

     

     

     

     

    13

     

    262

     

     

     

     

     

    14

     

    137

     

     

     

     

     

    15

     

    66

     

     

     

     

     

    16

     

    33

     

     

     

     

     

    17

     

    20

     

     

     

     

     

    18

     

    6

     

     

     

     

     

    19

     

    3

     

     

     

     

     

    20

     

    2

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    High streak

    Count

     

     

     

     

     

    1

     

    1,262,280

     

     

     

     

     

    2

     

    624,478

     

     

     

     

     

    3

     

    309,217

     

     

     

     

     

    4

     

    153,266

     

     

     

     

     

    5

     

    76,041

     

     

     

     

     

    6

     

    37,367

     

     

     

     

     

    7

     

    18,567

     

     

     

     

     

    8

     

    9,318

     

     

     

     

     

    9

     

    4,608

     

     

     

     

     

    10

     

    2,264

     

     

     

     

     

    11

     

    1,116

     

     

     

     

     

    12

     

    557

     

     

     

     

     

    13

     

    295

     

     

     

     

     

    14

     

    145

     

     

     

     

     

    15

     

    65

     

     

     

     

     

    16

     

    37

     

     

     

     

     

    17

     

    12

     

     

     

     

     

    18

     

    4

     

     

     

     

     

    19

     

    6

     

     

     

     

     

    20

     

    1

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    House edge streak

     

    Count

     

     

     

     

     

    1

     

    97,630

     

     

     

     

     

    2

     

    915

     

     

     

     

     

    3

     

    14

     

     

     

     

     

     

    • Max high or low streak is 20.
    • Max losing streak when betting on one side is 20. There isn't any house edge roll after streak 20 is hit.

     

     

    Any suggestions what to look for?

×