maliafka got a reaction from
3milyin To hit or not to hit women?
man who hit a women its not a man.. he is weak and rude..
may girl do anything what she want but u will never have an excuse for hitting her. u always can walk away and leave..
we live in free world u always have a choise to leave and do what make u feel confortable
maliafka reacted to
3milyin 3mily here
Hi my name is Emilia , am 29 years old currently live in Gothenburg , Sweden.
I work in accounting , also i spend a lot of my time*( like more than 90% of awake time ) in front of the computer.
I like to travel , drive and also gamble , huge fan of soccer and beer also sports bets ofc. ( Favourite teams in no specific order IFK Göteborg home team , FC Barcelona in Spain , Chelsea in UK , Bayern München in Germany , Juventus in Italy , Paris Saint Germain in France , Ajax Amsterdam in The Netherlands !)
I wish you guys best of luck with gambling , my suggestion is never ever ! 3v3r ! gamble more than you afford to loose, this way loose some win some and the game is fun
P.S. i like Gothic Rock and also many other genre and as some of you may have noticed i am a harsh and cruel bitch , don't tolerate stupidity and always speak my mind so dont be offended its not personal !
Also a big SHOUT OUT !!! to some ppl that made me feel welcomed and could actually relay to by having a normal conversation and fun with.
So in no specific order i would like to thank: Carol , Yash , David , Maliafka , xLittlegirly , RoBear , One2ten , FanEagle , Cordiceps , TheFrog , Bojana , Irena , hui , Maverick , Magik and last but not least LeDust ty guys.
Also Favourite color is green , nr is 3 , beer is Heineken , soda is Pepsi ... more to come
And yes a big fan of the 50 Shades series , even if the movie nowhere close to the books but not that bad either , thankfully casting helped
maliafka reacted to RollingYourHead in How to build a strategy basing on mathematics
I wanted to make it short but it's quite impossible. I will try to make it readable for those who aint that good at maths at least.
Most of people are thinking that there might be 100% sure strategy , those people advertising themselves on youtube showing you how quickly and easy you can make profits just get some viewers in there. They don't mention that they've made quite few runs before they succeded with any of those strategies.
Let’s do the math on example of 2x payout. You roll and the chance to lose is 50% (I am rounding it down from 50.50% just to make it easier to understand. Given house edge your odds are slightly worse than what I am about to illustrate).
So one loss is 50%. Losing a second time is only a 25% chance (0.5 x 0.5 = 0.25), Losing a 3rd time in a row is 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 = 0.125(12.5%), 4th time - 6.25% and so on. Doing the maths we are getting to conclusion that 30 reds in a row streak has a chance of 0.0000000931%. Expressed in words it's 1 in a billion chance. Wait, what? So the chance is less than winning a lottery? Not to mention that having 30reds in a row and playing martingale since 1satoshi would just basically zero your balance even if you had over few bitcoins and you would risk it all just to win 1 satoshi. Martingale system is one of the oldest and not successful so called gambling strategies invented.
You should remember that basing on mathematics your odds are always, ALWAYS better to make a single roll. More you play the chance is greater to lose. So basically high rollers which just created accounts and deposited have way bigger chance to win few coins in 30mins than most of the players playing with low balances for over a year. I've made few script runs on various dice websites just to count it right(doing at least 5mln rolls each time). I was even changing client seeds every roll not manually because that would be a killer but still. Odds are absolutely not different at all. You still have exactly same chance roll the number you are looking for as you had before changing seed. People just do not understand that those seeds are changable just to prove you it's fair. They do not affect your odds at all.
Let's go further with maths. I've seen plenty of people doing crazy things like keep on playing 1.1x payouts or 1.4x. I'm gonna count revenues for you and how long your gonna survive on red streaks.
1.1x - to cover your loss and earn some silly satoshis you need to multiply your base bet by 1100%(crazy!). Starting bet 10 satoshi. Next one is 120, next one is 1320, next one is 14520 and so on. With balance of 0.4BTC you will bust in just 7 red rolls in a row which are not as rare as you might think to happen.
Every single bet you make that is below 2x payout is playing against you. Why? Because simply you have to heavily increase your bets to cover losses from previous failures.
Biggest chances ON ANY balance you have are between 5.3 and 8.5 payouts. Everything depends on how you will calculate increase on loss to get earnings whilst not pushing it to hard, leaving for your balance space for red rolls to happen.
Let's be clear about something - there is no strategy at all that you could just run on autobet and keep it going without busting. It will always end up in busting. Why? Because this example with 30 red rolls in 2x payout is just an example. You could count ods for even 60reds in a row. Almost impossible to happen but hey still possible.
Remember that - longer you play, more rolls your account has chances for winning are getting smaller (considering your budget is almost always the same).
At the end here is one the strategies i like:
5.5x (18% chance)
basebet - 20satoshi
increase on loss - 25%
required bankroll - 0.01
Kept it running consecutively for over 70hours giving me a profit of over 0.1 BTC.
Cheers and do not treat gambling as your chance to earn money!